0

Full Content is available to subscribers

Subscribe/Learn More  >

Quantitative Risk Assessment for Projects Schedules

[+] Author Affiliations
Sherif S. Hassanien, Jason B. Skow

C-FER Technologies, Edmonton, AB, Canada

Paper No. IPC2012-90548, pp. 61-67; 7 pages
doi:10.1115/IPC2012-90548
From:
  • 2012 9th International Pipeline Conference
  • Volume 1: Upstream Pipelines; Project Management; Design and Construction; Environment; Facilities Integrity Management; Operations and Maintenance; Pipeline Automation and Measurement
  • Calgary, Alberta, Canada, September 24–28, 2012
  • Conference Sponsors: International Petroleum Technology Institute, Pipeline Division
  • ISBN: 978-0-7918-4512-7
  • Copyright © 2012 by ASME

abstract

Despite vigilant efforts in project scheduling and planning by engineers and project managers, recent market research reported a marked decrease in project success rates. The market research tracked projects across a broad range of industries and concluded the primary failure causes to be a lack of sufficient detail in the project planning stage, poor or no risk analysis, scope creep and poor communication. This paper focuses on a strategy to minimize the first cause. Specifically, how to obtain sufficient schedule and resource estimates to better predict time allocation and expected costs with a focus on capital pipeline projects. To this end, a quantitative risk assessment (QRA) methodology is applied to project schedules allowing the uncertainty of key task durations and/or costs to be fully accounted for in the schedule. Projects managers will be able to quantify the uncertainty in their projects and support decision makers with a more accurate prediction of the likelihood of being on time and on budget. This paper introduces a systematic approach for both aleatory and epistemic uncertainty quantification. In addition, the expected benefits of adopting QRA for projects schedules are discussed through a hypothetical simple project schedule from the pipeline industry.

Copyright © 2012 by ASME
Topics: Risk assessment

Figures

Tables

Interactive Graphics

Video

Country-Specific Mortality and Growth Failure in Infancy and Yound Children and Association With Material Stature

Use interactive graphics and maps to view and sort country-specific infant and early dhildhood mortality and growth failure data and their association with maternal

NOTE:
Citing articles are presented as examples only. In non-demo SCM6 implementation, integration with CrossRef’s "Cited By" API will populate this tab (http://www.crossref.org/citedby.html).

Some tools below are only available to our subscribers or users with an online account.

Related Content

Customize your page view by dragging and repositioning the boxes below.

Related eBook Content
Topic Collections

Sorry! You do not have access to this content. For assistance or to subscribe, please contact us:

  • TELEPHONE: 1-800-843-2763 (Toll-free in the USA)
  • EMAIL: asmedigitalcollection@asme.org
Sign In