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A Probabilistic Evaluation Model for Welding Residual Stress Distribution at Piping Joint in Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics Analysis

[+] Author Affiliations
Hiroto Itoh, Jinya Katsuyama, Kunio Onizawa

Japan Atomic Energy Agency, Tokai, Ibaraki, Japan

Paper No. PVP2008-61421, pp. 1137-1142; 6 pages
  • ASME 2008 Pressure Vessels and Piping Conference
  • Volume 6: Materials and Fabrication, Parts A and B
  • Chicago, Illinois, USA, July 27–31, 2008
  • Conference Sponsors: Pressure Vessels and Piping
  • ISBN: 978-0-7918-4829-6
  • Copyright © 2008 by ASME


Stress corrosion cracking (SCC) has been observed at some piping joints made by Austenitic stainless steel in BWR plants. In JAEA, we have been developing probabilistic fracture mechanics (PFM) analysis methods for aged piping based on latest aging knowledge and an analytical code, PASCAL-SP. PASCAL-SP evaluates the failure probability of piping at aged welded joints under SCC by a Monte Carlo method. We proposes a simplified probabilistic model which can be applied to the failure probability analysis based on PFM for welded joint of piping considering the uncertainty of welding residual stress. And the probabilistic evaluation model is introduced to PASCAL-SP. A parametric PFM analysis concerning uncertainties of residual stress distribution using PASCAL-SP was performed. The PFM analysis showed that the uncertainties of residual stress distribution largely influenced break probability. The break probability increased with increasing the uncertainties of residual stress.

Copyright © 2008 by ASME



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