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Conditional Risk Assessment Considering Hull Girder Failure of Vessels With Collision-Induced Damage Amidships

[+] Author Affiliations
Huirong Jia, Torgeir Moan

Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway

Paper No. OMAE2011-49467, pp. 359-364; 6 pages
doi:10.1115/OMAE2011-49467
From:
  • ASME 2011 30th International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering
  • Volume 2: Structures, Safety and Reliability
  • Rotterdam, The Netherlands, June 19–24, 2011
  • ISBN: 978-0-7918-4434-2
  • Copyright © 2011 by ASME

abstract

This paper deals with conditional risk assessment considering hull girder failure of damaged vessels. Only damages amidships are investigated. Conditional risk in this paper is defined as the probability of a given damage multiplied by the probability of hull girder failure conditioned upon the given damage. Taking a double hull oil tanker at full load condition as an example, the 3-hour’s failure probabilities conditioned upon damage properties are estimated. The statistical database for collision event in the HARDER project is adopted to assess the probability of sea state and damage. The sensitivity of 3-hour’s failure probability to the sea state and damage properties is investigated. Furthermore, the conditional risk is also assessed.

Copyright © 2011 by ASME

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