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Extreme Response Predictions for Jack-Up Units in Second Order Stochastic Waves by FORM

[+] Author Affiliations
Jo̸rgen Juncher Jensen

Technical University of Denmark, Lyngby, Denmark

Paper No. OMAE2007-29022, pp. 5-10; 6 pages
  • ASME 2007 26th International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering
  • Volume 2: Structures, Safety and Reliability; Petroleum Technology Symposium
  • San Diego, California, USA, June 10–15, 2007
  • Conference Sponsors: Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering Division
  • ISBN: 0-7918-4268-1 | eISBN: 0-7918-3799-8
  • Copyright © 2007 by ASME


The aim of the present paper is to advocate for a very effective stochastic procedure, based on the First Order Reliability Method (FORM), for extreme value predictions related to wave induced loads. All kinds of non-linearities can be included, as the procedure makes use of short time-domain simulations of the response in question. The procedure will be illustrated with a jack-up rig where second order stochastic waves are included in the analysis. The result is the probability of overturning as function of sea state and operational time.

Copyright © 2007 by ASME



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