Full Content is available to subscribers

Subscribe/Learn More  >

Flexible Multistage Bayesian Models for Use in Conceptual Design

[+] Author Affiliations
Jorge E. Pacheco, Cristina H. Amon, Susan Finger

Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA

Paper No. DETC2002/DTM-34022, pp. 241-250; 10 pages
  • ASME 2002 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences and Computers and Information in Engineering Conference
  • Volume 4: 14th International Conference on Design Theory and Methodology, Integrated Systems Design, and Engineering Design and Culture
  • Montreal, Quebec, Canada, September 29–October 2, 2002
  • Conference Sponsors: Design Engineering Division, Computers and Information in Engineering Division
  • ISBN: 0-7918-3624-X
  • Copyright © 2002 by ASME


During conceptual design, designers need tools to help improve design decisions and reduce design times. We are working to develop techniques to create Bayesian surrogate models that respond to designers’ needs during conceptual stages of the design process. Bayesian surrogate models give analytical form to the overall performance of a system and can evolve along with the design. Bayesian surrogate models provide a mathematically rigorous framework in which computational models can be updated based on previous outcomes. In this paper, we present techniques that allow the addition or suppression of parameters without discarding previously obtained information. We also present a case study that illustrates how a surrogate model is constructed in stages when parameters are added or suppressed during the design process. Visualization tools, such as plots of the main effects of parameters, can be derived from surrogate models. These tools can be used to provide knowledge about the parameters that influence the design. Finally, a design problem is used to illustrate how Bayesian surrogate models can inform the designer about tradeoffs that would not be apparent from simulation data alone.

Copyright © 2002 by ASME



Interactive Graphics


Country-Specific Mortality and Growth Failure in Infancy and Yound Children and Association With Material Stature

Use interactive graphics and maps to view and sort country-specific infant and early dhildhood mortality and growth failure data and their association with maternal

Citing articles are presented as examples only. In non-demo SCM6 implementation, integration with CrossRef’s "Cited By" API will populate this tab (http://www.crossref.org/citedby.html).

Some tools below are only available to our subscribers or users with an online account.

Related Content

Customize your page view by dragging and repositioning the boxes below.

Related eBook Content
Topic Collections

Sorry! You do not have access to this content. For assistance or to subscribe, please contact us:

  • TELEPHONE: 1-800-843-2763 (Toll-free in the USA)
  • EMAIL: asmedigitalcollection@asme.org
Sign In